Football Over/Under Predictions
How Does Over/Under Prediction Work?
Over/Under bets are among the most popular betting markets, especially in football. The bets are based on the total number of goals in a 90 minutes match, plus stoppage time (extra-time and penalties don’t count). These betting predictions markets have varying odds depending on the probability of the event.
Over and Under Prediction Meaning
Over-Under predictions act like a bet where a betting site predicts a number for a statistic in a specific game, and this is usually the combined score of two teams. As a bettor, you will be required to place a wager on whether the game’s actual outcome will be higher (over) or lower (under).
A sportsbook predicts that the total number of goals between Chelsea and Liverpool will be 2.5.
In this case, your job is to decide if over 2.5 goals predictions for today will likely win or if it’s better to wager on under 2.5.
But what does 2.5 stand for? We will discuss this and the overall over and under prediction meaning in the section below. First, you need to know the various Over-Under predictions bets. They include:
- Over/Under 0.5 goals
- Over/Under 1.5 goals
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over/Under 3.5 goals
- Over/Under 4.5 goals
- Over/Under 5.5 goals
Over/Under 0.5 Predictions
This is an excellent option if you are a beginner and are looking to build football accumulators. Compared to other Over-Under predictions, these bets have low odds and a high likelihood of success. With highly competitive teams in major football leagues, over under predictions soccer bets can be hard to guess the outcome. However, an over 0.5 goals bet has a better likelihood of winning.
Winning over 0.5 goals bet– At least one goal
Winning under 0.5 bet- No goal
Over/Under 1.5 Predictions
With this bet, you will be predicting if the match will or will not end with at least 2 goals. This is a popular betting market for over-under predictions soccer bettors since almost 70% of matches finish this way. Additionally, over 1.5 goals are more appealing to Kenyan punters as they are active for the full game. On the other hand, under 1.5 goals bet can lose any time, and this will destroy your accumulator.
Winning over 1.5 goals bet- 2 goals or more
Winning under 1.5 goals bet- Less than 2 goals
Over/Under 2.5 Predictions
There is a very thin line between difficulty and the reward for Over/Under 2.5 bets. This is a preferable bet option for seasoned players due to the competitive odds and high value. Here, under 2.5 predictions bets means that you believe that the match will end with 2 or fewer goals. An over 2.5 predictions bet wins if there are 3 or more goals.
Winning over 2.5 goals bet- 3 goals or more
Winning under 2.5 goals bet- 2 goals or less
Over/Under 3.5 Predictions
The average number of goals expected in a game, especially in major leagues, is between 2.5 and 3. Over/under 3.5 goal markets lie just above this average which could explain why the odds of under 3.5 goals bets are low. On the other end, over 3.5 goals predictions are rare but profitable when you land one.
Winning over 3.5 goals predictions- 4 goals or more
Winning under 3.5 goals predictions- 3 goals or less
Over/Under 4.5 Predictions
Under 4.5 bets are considered ‘safebet’ since most matches end in less than 5 goals. Thus, such wagers have considerably low odds. However, over 4.5 goals offer generous odds.
Winning over 4.5 goals predictions- 5 goals or more
Winning under 4.5 goals predictions- 4 goals or less
Over/Under 5.5 Predictions
The fact that most matches end with under 5.5 goals make this market highly skewed. Betting under means parting with very low odds while backing overs means you are looking for plenty of goals.
Winning over 5.5 bets – 6 or more
Winning under 5.5 bets – 5 or less
Best Over/Under Betting Sites in Kenya
Over/Under Predictions FAQs
Is it better to bet over or under?
Either of the bets can be profitable, depending on the outcome of the event. The decision on which to wager should be based on an in-depth analysis of statistics and probability. Over 0.5 goals and under 4.5 goals both have high chances of winning. However, their odds are very low.
How to read an over/under bet?
A sportsbook provides their projected total score, and you are required to predict if the final score will be less (under) or more (over). Under 0.5 reads, there will be no goal, while over 0.5 means there will be at least one goal. Under 2.5 means there will be at most two goals, while over 2.5 predictions mean there will be 3 or more goals.
How to pick over and under?
Picking an over or under bet should depend on your analysis of the game and your risk appetite. Bets with a high probability of winning often have low odds, while those with low winning probability have high odds. These wagers require a keen eye for details to help identify promising opportunities.
How to predict the over-under outcome?
With this betting market, you will be predicting the total number of goals in a match. To increase your chances of winning, make sure to analyse the previous games of the two teams. Be sure to understand their current form, the team line-up, injuries of a striker or defender, or any other factor that could affect the team’s performance.
How is over/under calculated?
Under 0.5 means there will be no goal, while over 0.5 means there will be at least one goal. Under 1.5 means that there will be one goal or less, while over 1.5 means that there will be 2 goals or more. The other betting markets follow this progressive series [(-0.5) for under or (+0.5) for over.