La Liga presents an interesting league to watch and bet on. And if you plan to do the former, La Liga predictions will be very important. In this article, we have gone all out to explain how we come up with our predictions.
La Liga Predictions 2023
La Liga 2023 Fixtures
La Liga 2023 Odds
How Did We Choose Our La Liga Predictions?
While coming up with our Primera division predictions and La Liga tips, we have done a thorough job looking into various important aspects and factors. Here are some important La Liga tips that you should take into consideration.
Looking at previous La Liga winners is always important. Quite often, previous league winners will either defend their title or come very close as runners-up or the third-placed team.
This factor plays a huge role in predictions mostly at the beginning of the season.
But as the season heats up, other factors that we will discuss further will come into play.
Last year, it was Real Madrid who took the title. We have listed the previous winners of the La Liga title for the past 10 seasons in the table below.
|2012 – 2013||Barcelona|
|2013 – 2014||Atletico Madrid|
|2014 – 2015||Barcelona|
|2015 – 2016||Barcelona|
|2016 – 2017||Real Madrid|
|2017 – 2018||Barcelona|
|2018 – 2019||Barcelona|
|2019 – 2020||Real Madrid|
|2020 – 2021||Atletico Madrid|
|2021 – 2022||Real Madrid|
Form of the Team
If a team has been playing well, we consider their form when making predictions for their upcoming matches. When teams are in good form, they can retain their winning (or at least scoring) streak.
So, you can consider placing a bet on them to win or to draw. Perhaps even a Both Teams to Score option is interesting when they have an encounter with a strong opponent.
Research and Analysing Stats
This is the bedrock of our predictions. We do a lot of research and analyze stats to predict the outcome and events of a match correctly.
We take a look at what has happened in the past and how those past events can influence what could happen in the upcoming games.
For example, from our research, we could decide to play Over/Under in a particular match instead of the Match Winner market. Or a handicap to correctly hedge our bets in case of the possibility of an upset to a major team.
There is a favorite between the two teams in most La Liga matches. It could be that the team is in good form or that they have always performed well against a particular opponent.
There are several ways to determine favorites, but as this is not a very reliable marker, we lean into it after doing the hard work of research and looking at stats.
This is certainly not the most effective step in making Spanish betting predictions, but we also consider it. Where a team is placed on the League table at a time could inspire them to put in more effort to either win a match or at least get a draw.
This is true for both ends of the table. The teams in the relegation zone seem to fight harder to win matches as the season comes to an end.
How Do La Liga Predictions Work?
When it comes to La Liga predictions, there are several markets available. So first, we would look at some of the betting markets that are most common to bet on for La Liga games.
The Match Winner market is the most popular betting market for La Liga matches. You can predict the winner of a particular La Liga match. There are three options in this market.
There is the option of a home win, an away win, and a draw. Most times, this option doesn’t include extra time and penalties.
La Liga matches always feature many goals, so this is another very interesting market to bet in. And on most bookmakers’ platforms, the over/under market is available, so you can easily locate it and bet on it.
The over/under market is a prediction of how many goals will be scored in a match.
The ranges start from 0.5 to 5.5, with the sweet spot being over 2.5 as most La Liga matches have over half of La Liga matches end in over three goals or more.
Both Teams to Score
Both Teams to Score is a market where you can predict that the two teams playing will score or just one or none will score. There are only two options in this market – Yes and No.
The ‘Yes’ is a prediction that the two teams will score. The ‘No’ option is a prediction that either one or none of the teams will score.
There are some matches that the BTTS market is the best market to play in. Matches like Athletico Madrid vs Barcelona or the great El Classico – Barcelona vs Real Madrid often feature goals from both teams.
In the correct score market, you have to predict the correct score of a match. The correct score market is one of the hardest markets to bet in, but the odds are always exciting for this reason.
The handicap market functions just as the match-winner market. The slight difference is that you are supposed to give an advantage to one team over another.
The handicap offered on most bookmakers’ platforms is the European handicap, where you can offer from 1 to a 4 goal-advantage to one team. The other team has to overcome this advantage for your bet to win.
Finally, you can combine markets when betting on La Liga games. This makes for a more interesting bet as you are predicting more than one event in a single match.
You can combine the Match Winner market (1×2) with the Over/Under market or the Match Winner market with Both Teams to Score. These are the most popular combo markets, and the bookmaker you bet on will determine the combo markets you can bet on.
Which Teams Qualify for La Liga?
In the Spanish football structure, there is also La Liga 2, the second-tier championship. So there is always the relegation of the bottom three La Liga teams to La Liga 2.
Also, the top three La Liga 2 teams are promoted from La Liga 2 to La Liga. In the same way, there are La Liga predictions, there are also La Liga 2 predictions.
And the same principles we share for La Liga are the same for the La Liga 2 predictions.
The teams that qualified for La Liga 2 into La Liga for the 2021/2022 season are Espanyol, Mallorca, and Rayo Vallecano. These three teams have replaced Huesca, Valladolid, and Eibar, who were relegated to La Liga 2 after the 2020/2021 season.